# Bitcoin's Next Bull Run Hinges on Breaking $118k Resistance ∞ Insights

**Published:** 2025-09-17
**Categories:** Insights

---

![A close-up view reveals a dense array of interconnected electronic components and cables, predominantly in shades of blue, silver, and dark grey. The detailed hardware suggests a sophisticated data processing or networking system, with multiple connectors and circuit-like structures visible](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/distributed-ledger-technology-core-interoperability-protocol-data-pathways.jpeg)

![A detailed, close-up perspective of advanced computing hardware, showcasing intricate blue circuit traces and numerous metallic silver components. The shallow depth of field highlights the central processing elements, blurring into the background and foreground](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/blockchain-asic-infrastructure-facilitating-high-throughput-transaction-processing.jpeg)

## Briefing

Bitcoin is currently consolidating around the $116,000 mark, with on-chain metrics indicating a critical juncture. A definitive break above $118,000 is poised to confirm a resumption of its [bullish momentum](https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoins-bullish-momentum-fragile-risk-of-correction-grows/), driven by historical support and resistance levels identified by advanced indicators. This suggests that the market is accumulating energy for a potential explosive move, with $117,000 acting as a key zone of indecision.

![A sophisticated white cylindrical mechanism, resembling a futuristic satellite, is depicted expelling a substantial cloud of white vapor from its central aperture. Intricate panels and solar arrays adorn its exterior, set against a stark blue backdrop](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/interchain-protocol-emitting-scalable-transaction-throughput.jpeg)

## Context

Many investors are wondering if Bitcoin’s recent [price action](https://incrypthos.com/regulation/sec-shifts-enforcement-dismisses-coinbase-action/), oscillating around $116,000, signals a loss of bullish momentum or if it’s merely a pause before a larger rally. Is the flagship cryptocurrency preparing for its next major move, or is it facing sustained resistance that could lead to a downturn?

![A gleaming, futuristic modular device, encrusted with frost, splits open to reveal an internal core emitting a vibrant burst of blue and white particles, symbolizing intense computational activity. This powerful imagery can represent a critical component of Web3 infrastructure, perhaps a blockchain node undergoing significant transaction validation or a decentralized network processing a complex consensus mechanism](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/decentralized-protocol-node-activating-cold-storage-transaction-validation.jpeg)

## Analysis

On-chain analysis, utilizing indicators like the CVDD Channel and the Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price, reveals that Bitcoin is at a pivotal point. The CVDD Channel estimates historical price floors and risk zones based on coin destruction data, while the Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price identifies structural expansion and value zones. Both metrics pinpoint $117,000 as a significant [resistance level](https://incrypthos.com/markets/bitcoin-etf-inflows-fuel-push-towards-key-118k-resistance/), representing a zone of strong interest and indecision.

Historically, these indicators have accurately identified key support and resistance. A sustained move above this threshold, particularly a convincing break of $118,000, would signal a confirmation of [bullish](https://incrypthos.com/news/bullish/) momentum, indicating that selling pressure is being absorbed and the path for further upside is clear.

![This abstract composition showcases fluid, interconnected forms rendered in frosted translucent white and deep gradient blue. The organic shapes interlace, creating a dynamic three-dimensional structure with soft, diffused lighting](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/decentralized-network-interoperability-protocol-consensus-mechanism-visual.jpeg)

## Parameters

- **Current [Bitcoin Price](https://incrypthos.com/news/bitcoin-price/)** ∞ Around $116,000

- **Key Resistance Level** ∞ $117,000 – $118,000

- **[On-Chain Indicators](https://incrypthos.com/news/on-chain-indicators/)** ∞ CVDD Channel, Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price

- **Analyst** ∞ Joao Wedson, founder and CEO of Alphractal

![A futuristic, intricate mechanical device, featuring a central metallic core and radiating rods adorned with brilliant blue crystalline structures, is depicted partially submerged in a snowy, icy terrain. The background reveals a blurred, deep blue, wavy surface, suggesting a vast body of water or distant ice formations](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/decentralized-ledger-core-quantum-cryptographic-node-architecture.jpeg)

## Outlook

This [on-chain](https://incrypthos.com/news/on-chain/) insight suggests that Bitcoin is on the cusp of a potential extended rally in the near term, provided it can overcome immediate resistance. Investors should closely monitor the $118,000 level; a decisive breakout above this point would serve as a strong confirming signal for continued upward price action. Conversely, a failure to breach this level could indicate prolonged consolidation or a deeper correction.

**Bitcoin’s path to a renewed bull run is confirmed by a clear break above $118,000.**

Signal Acquired from ∞ <a href="https://www.mitrade.com/au/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1120807-20250914?utm_source=incrypthos.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=noo-engine.com" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Mitrade (via search snippet)</a>

## Glossary

<a href="https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoins-bullish-momentum-fragile-risk-of-correction-grows/" class="glossary-item-box">

## bullish momentum 

On-chain data suggests Bitcoin's price faces significant downside risk if key support levels fail, driven by weakening investor demand. </a><a href="https://incrypthos.com/regulation/sec-shifts-enforcement-dismisses-coinbase-action/" class="glossary-item-box">

## price action 

This pivot from aggressive enforcement to a collaborative framework necessitates a re-evaluation of compliance strategies for digital asset entities. </a><a href="https://incrypthos.com/markets/bitcoin-etf-inflows-fuel-push-towards-key-118k-resistance/" class="glossary-item-box">

## resistance level 

Strong Bitcoin ETF inflows signal sustained institutional interest, yet the path above $118,000 faces immediate resistance. </a><a href="https://incrypthos.com/news/bullish/" class="glossary-item-box">

## bullish 

Definition ∞ A 'bullish' market sentiment indicates an expectation of rising prices for a digital asset or the broader cryptocurrency market. </a><a href="https://incrypthos.com/news/bitcoin-price/" class="glossary-item-box">

## bitcoin price 

Definition ∞ The Bitcoin price is the current monetary value at which one Bitcoin can be exchanged for another currency, typically fiat currency like the US dollar. </a><a href="https://incrypthos.com/news/on-chain-indicators/" class="glossary-item-box">

## on-chain indicators 

Definition ∞ On-chain indicators are metrics derived directly from data recorded on a blockchain. </a><a href="https://incrypthos.com/news/on-chain/" class="glossary-item-box">

## on-chain 

Definition ∞ On-chain refers to any transaction or data that is recorded and validated directly on a blockchain ledger, making it publicly verifiable and immutable. </a>

**Tags:** [Bitcoin Price](https://incrypthos.com/news/bitcoin-price/), [Fibonacci Analysis](https://incrypthos.com/news/fibonacci-analysis/), [Market Momentum](https://incrypthos.com/news/market-momentum/), [On-Chain Indicators](https://incrypthos.com/news/on-chain-indicators/), [Price](https://incrypthos.com/news/price/), [Price Breakout](https://incrypthos.com/news/price-breakout/)	

## Discover More

- 
### [Bitcoin Sharks Accumulate: Is a Price Breakout Imminent](https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoin-sharks-accumulate-is-a-price-breakout-imminent/)
![A futuristic white and metallic cylindrical apparatus, partially submerged in dark blue water, actively processes. Its open end reveals intricate, glowing blue crystalline structures, indicative of intensive cryptographic operations. From this aperture, a torrent of white, granular material and vibrant blue particles forcefully ejects, signifying substantial liquidity injection. This represents a blockchain infrastructure's robust consensus mechanism generating digital asset issuance or executing complex smart contract logic, impacting network throughput within the DLT ecosystem.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/dlt-mechanism-emitting-liquidity-into-crypto-ecosystem-protocol-activation.jpeg)

Mid-sized Bitcoin holders are aggressively buying, a historical signal often preceding significant market price increases.

- 
### [Bitcoin’s Fragile Recovery Meets Renewed Selling Pressure from Profit-Takers](https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoins-fragile-recovery-meets-renewed-selling-pressure-from-profit-takers/)
![A sleek metallic apparatus, resembling a high-throughput validator node or oracle mechanism, precisely channels a vibrant blue, translucent digital asset stream. This dynamic interaction illustrates the seamless liquidity provision and transaction processing within a DeFi protocol. The intricate flow signifies on-chain data movement and smart contract execution, emphasizing cryptographic integrity and network interoperability. It visually represents the efficient value transfer and data orchestration fundamental to distributed ledger technology.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/defi-protocol-orchestrating-digital-asset-liquidity-flow.jpeg)

Bitcoin's recent price climb is delicate; on-chain data reveals profit-taking and waning demand create new selling pressure.

- 
### [XRP, Dogecoin ETFs Approved, Signaling New Era for Altcoin Investment](https://incrypthos.com/markets/xrp-dogecoin-etfs-approved-signaling-new-era-for-altcoin-investment/)
![A large, textured lunar sphere, representing a primary moon token, is securely nested amidst numerous translucent blue shards within a polished metallic validator ring. These digital assets symbolize a decentralized finance DeFi ecosystem, potentially a staking pool or cold storage solution. A smaller moonlet suggests Layer 2 scaling or a satellite dApp. The white, undulating landscape evokes a nascent blockchain environment, with a chrome hardware wallet or seed phrase container nearby, emphasizing immutable ledger security and tokenomics architecture.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/immutable-ledger-shards-securing-staked-moon-tokens.jpeg)

Regulatory greenlight for XRP/DOGE ETFs unlocks institutional capital, enhancing market accessibility and product diversity.

- 
### [Bitcoin Recovery Fragile as Sell Pressure Emerges](https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoin-recovery-fragile-as-sell-pressure-emerges/)
![A sharp, metallic, silver-grey structure, partially covered in white snow, emerges from a vibrant blue, textured mass, itself snow-dusted and resting in calm, rippling water. This visual metaphor depicts a novel cryptographic primitive or a Layer-2 scaling solution breaking through established blockchain architecture. The deep blue mass represents the underlying distributed ledger technology DLT or a liquidity pool of digital assets, partially integrated by on-chain governance mechanisms. The tranquil water signifies the broader DeFi ecosystem and market liquidity, where new smart contract deployments are taking root, hinting at interoperability protocols and asset tokenization within a burgeoning Web3 infrastructure.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/cryptographic-primitive-surfacing-decentralized-ledger-architecture.jpeg)

Despite a recent price recovery driven by macro factors and ETF inflows, Bitcoin faces renewed sell pressure, indicating a fragile market.

- 
### [Bitcoin ETF Inflows Accelerate, Diverging from Ethereum Outflows](https://incrypthos.com/markets/bitcoin-etf-inflows-accelerate-diverging-from-ethereum-outflows/)
![A monochromatic blue-toned close-up reveals a central processing unit featuring the Bitcoin symbol, emblematic of specialized ASIC hardware. This mining chip is intricately integrated into a blockchain circuit board, surrounded by numerous data transmission cables and surface-mount components. The composition emphasizes the physical infrastructure underpinning proof-of-work consensus mechanisms. This hardware facilitates transaction validation and contributes to the overall hash rate of the decentralized network, securing the digital asset and its cryptographic ledger.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/bitcoin-asic-chip-decentralized-ledger-technology-mining-hardware.jpeg)

Accelerated Bitcoin ETF inflows demonstrate robust capital allocation, providing a strategic advantage for precise portfolio rebalancing.

- 
### [Bitcoin’s Fragile Recovery Meets Emerging Sell Pressure](https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoins-fragile-recovery-meets-emerging-sell-pressure/)
![A sophisticated, metallic hardware component integrates a vibrant, translucent blue substance. This textured, viscous element likely functions as a high-performance liquid cooling system for a blockchain validator node or mining rig. The metallic housing includes a control interface, suggesting active protocol execution and network management. The blue core could represent a secure enclave for private keys or a data shard holding transactional data. Its luminous quality hints at active hashrate generation or proof-of-stake validation, critical for decentralized ledger technology and cryptographic security. This advanced distributed ledger technology infrastructure supports on-chain governance.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/decentralized-network-node-liquid-cooling-data-shard-engine.jpeg)

Bitcoin's recent rally, fueled by macro factors, now shows cracks from profit-taking and waning demand, signaling market fragility.

- 
### [Fed Rate Cut Anticipation Fuels Crypto Market Optimism](https://incrypthos.com/markets/fed-rate-cut-anticipation-fuels-crypto-market-optimism/)
![Intricate Bitcoin ASIC miner architecture features a prominent metallic 'B' symbol atop layered blue and silver components. Deep blue hexagonal recesses within the 'B' suggest advanced computational power or liquid cooling for optimal hash rate performance. Black data transmission conduits interweave through the structure, connecting various blockchain node elements. Translucent blue panels highlight the complex decentralized network infrastructure, emphasizing transaction validation and cryptographic hashing capabilities essential for digital asset security and Proof-of-Work consensus. This represents robust DLT architecture.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/bitcoin-blockchain-asic-hardware-decentralized-network-processing-unit.jpeg)

Crypto investors are keenly watching the Fed's expected rate cut tomorrow, which typically boosts risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins.

- 
### [Whale Accumulation Fuels Bitcoin Rally and Supply Shock](https://incrypthos.com/insights/whale-accumulation-fuels-bitcoin-rally-and-supply-shock/)
![A textured, white spherical object, reminiscent of a celestial body or a blockchain node, is centrally positioned, featuring a pair of sleek, dark oracle network glasses. Several translucent, deep blue, blade-like structures, exhibiting frosted textures, securely encompass the sphere. These elements symbolize immutable data within a decentralized ledger technology framework, representing robust digital asset cold storage. A dark connecting rod integrates these security protocols, emphasizing smart contract execution and consensus mechanism integrity. The composition highlights Web3 infrastructure safeguarding tokenization processes.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/decentralized-oracle-protecting-immutable-digital-asset-ledger.jpeg)

On-chain data reveals significant whale accumulation and dwindling exchange supply, signaling a robust shift towards long-term holding.

- 
### [Crypto Market Dips as Liquidations Spike and Fed Decision Looms](https://incrypthos.com/markets/crypto-market-dips-as-liquidations-spike-and-fed-decision-looms/)
![A sleek, white, modular, futuristic device, partially submerged in calm, dark blue water. Its illuminated interior, revealing intricate blue glowing gears and digital components, actively expels a vigorous stream of water, creating significant surface ripples. This visual metaphor represents a DeFi protocol's liquidity generation via on-chain computation. It illustrates smart contract execution driving tokenomics and yield generation. The device signifies a decentralized autonomous organization DAO blockchain infrastructure component, perhaps a validator node, managing asset flow and algorithmic stablecoin mechanism output.](https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/defi-protocol-liquidity-emission-from-on-chain-computation.jpeg)

The crypto market saw a broad decline driven by significant liquidations and investor profit-taking, with upcoming Federal Reserve policy adding to uncertainty.

**Tags:** [Bitcoin](https://incrypthos.com/news/bitcoin/), [Bitcoin Price](https://incrypthos.com/news/bitcoin-price/), [Bull Run](https://incrypthos.com/news/bull-run/), [Bullish](https://incrypthos.com/news/bullish/), [Crypto Analysis](https://incrypthos.com/news/crypto-analysis/), [CVDD Channel](https://incrypthos.com/news/cvdd-channel/), [Fibonacci Analysis](https://incrypthos.com/news/fibonacci-analysis/), [Investor Sentiment](https://incrypthos.com/news/investor-sentiment/), [Market](https://incrypthos.com/news/market/), [Market Momentum](https://incrypthos.com/news/market-momentum/), [Market Resistance](https://incrypthos.com/news/market-resistance/), [On-Chain](https://incrypthos.com/news/on-chain/), [On-Chain Indicators](https://incrypthos.com/news/on-chain-indicators/), [Price](https://incrypthos.com/news/price/), [Price Breakout](https://incrypthos.com/news/price-breakout/)

---

## Raw Schema Data

```json
{
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@type": "BreadcrumbList",
    "itemListElement": [
        {
            "@type": "ListItem",
            "position": 1,
            "name": "Home",
            "item": "https://incrypthos.com"
        },
        {
            "@type": "ListItem",
            "position": 2,
            "name": "Insights",
            "item": "https://incrypthos.com/insights/"
        },
        {
            "@type": "ListItem",
            "position": 3,
            "name": "Bitcoin&#8217;s Next Bull Run Hinges on Breaking $118k Resistance",
            "item": "https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoins-next-bull-run-hinges-on-breaking-118k-resistance/"
        }
    ]
}
```

```json
{
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@type": "Organization",
    "@id": "http://incrypthos.com#organization",
    "name": "Incrypthos",
    "url": "http://incrypthos.com",
    "description": "Incrypthos Crypto News Engine is a proprietary language model designed specifically for the cryptocurrency domain. It operates 24/7 to ingest, analyze, and synthesize information from hundreds of global sources. Its core function is to discern the signal from the noise, reconstructing complex news and research into structured, objective summaries. Every article is generated by this engine and includes a direct link to the original source to ensure full transparency.",
    "email": "info@incrypthos.com",
    "logo": {
        "@type": "ImageObject",
        "url": "https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Incrypthos.svg"
    }
}
```

```json
{
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@type": "Article",
    "mainEntityOfPage": {
        "@type": "WebPage",
        "@id": "https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoins-next-bull-run-hinges-on-breaking-118k-resistance/"
    },
    "headline": "Bitcoin's Next Bull Run Hinges on Breaking $118k Resistance \u221e Insights",
    "description": "On-chain data suggests Bitcoin is poised for a significant upward move if it can decisively overcome the $118,000 price level. \u221e Insights",
    "url": "https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoins-next-bull-run-hinges-on-breaking-118k-resistance/",
    "datePublished": "2025-09-17T09:05:04+00:00",
    "dateModified": "2025-09-17T09:05:08+00:00",
    "articleSection": [
        "Insights"
    ],
    "author": {
        "@id": "http://incrypthos.com#organization"
    },
    "publisher": {
        "@id": "http://incrypthos.com#organization"
    },
    "image": {
        "@type": "ImageObject",
        "url": "https://incrypthos.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/algorithmic-stablecoin-protocol-mechanics-digital-asset-architecture.jpeg",
        "caption": "The image showcases a detailed view of precision mechanical components integrated with a silver, coin-like object and an overlying structure of blue digital blocks. Intricate gears and levers form a complex mechanism, suggesting an underlying system of operation. This intricate mechanical base symbolizes the foundational protocol mechanics and blockchain infrastructure essential for secure digital asset tokenization. A prominent silver cryptocurrency token, perhaps representing an algorithmic stablecoin or a synthetic asset, is meticulously integrated, signifying the digital value it embodies. Above, a dynamic, fractal-like formation of blue cubic blocks visually interprets decentralized ledger technology and the distributed nature of on-chain governance. The composition abstractly illustrates the sophisticated interplay between low-level smart contract execution and the broader DeFi ecosystem, where traditional engineering principles meet innovative Web3 architecture to power next-generation financial instruments and programmable money. This represents the intricate backend of a robust, transparent, and immutable financial system."
    },
    "keywords": [
        "Bitcoin",
        "Bitcoin Price",
        "Bull Run",
        "Bullish",
        "Crypto Analysis",
        "CVDD Channel",
        "Fibonacci Analysis",
        "Investor Sentiment",
        "Market",
        "Market Momentum",
        "Market Resistance",
        "On-Chain",
        "On-Chain Indicators",
        "Price",
        "Price Breakout"
    ]
}
```


---

**Original URL:** https://incrypthos.com/insights/bitcoins-next-bull-run-hinges-on-breaking-118k-resistance/
