Briefing
Bitcoin is experiencing an unprecedented accumulation wave from long-term holders, signaling deep investor confidence in its future value. This trend is evidenced by a recent single-day inflow of 29,685 BTC into long-term wallets, marking the second-largest such event in 2025. Furthermore, total on-chain inflows from 2024 to mid-2025 have surged to $625 billion, significantly surpassing the $435 billion accumulated over the previous 15 years, underscoring a powerful shift towards long-term holding.
Context
Many wonder if Bitcoin’s recent price movements reflect fleeting speculative interest or a fundamental shift towards sustained adoption. Investors are seeking clarity on whether current market strength is built on a solid foundation of long-term conviction or if it is vulnerable to short-term fluctuations.
Analysis
On-chain inflows measure the total value of Bitcoin moving into wallets held by long-term investors, often defined as those holding coins for extended periods. When this metric rises, it indicates that more Bitcoin is being moved off exchanges and into secure storage, suggesting investors are choosing to hold rather than sell. This pattern typically reflects a belief in Bitcoin’s appreciation over time. The data shows a remarkable trend → on September 17, 2025, Bitcoin saw its second-largest single-day inflow into long-term wallets this year, with 29,685 BTC moving into these addresses.
This recent surge contributes to a larger pattern where total on-chain inflows between 2024 and mid-2025 reached an astonishing $625 billion, eclipsing the cumulative $435 billion recorded from 2009 to 2024. This indicates a profound and accelerating shift in investor behavior, with both institutional and retail participants increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a long-term store of value. The sustained accumulation, particularly among large holders, reinforces a bullish outlook for the asset, suggesting that market participants are securing Bitcoin for its enduring potential.
Parameters
Outlook
This sustained accumulation by long-term holders suggests a robust underlying demand for Bitcoin, pointing to continued market strength in the near term. The historical magnitude of recent inflows indicates that investors are not merely speculating but are making strategic allocations for the long haul. A confirming signal to watch for is a continued decrease in Bitcoin supply on exchanges, which would further tighten available liquidity and reinforce upward price pressure. Conversely, a significant and sustained increase in exchange inflows could act as a counter-signal, indicating profit-taking by these long-term holders.
Signal Acquired from → ainvest.com
