Briefing

The market has confirmed a major structural buying pivot, suggesting the recent price dip was aggressively absorbed by institutional capital. The core insight is that deep-pocketed investors view the current levels as a high-conviction accumulation zone, signaling a potential stabilization and reversal of the bearish trend. This thesis is proven by the Bitcoin Apparent Demand metric, which recorded its sharpest movement all year, flipping from a net demand of -79.085k BTC to a positive demand of +108.5819k BTC in just 48 hours.

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Context

The primary uncertainty for the average investor is whether the recent price drop was a healthy correction or the start of a deeper, prolonged bear market. Many are wondering if the big players have finished selling or if new, sustained capital is entering to create a reliable floor. This data provides a clear answer to the question of who is actually buying the dip.

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Analysis

The Bitcoin Apparent Demand metric is a critical on-chain tool that separates speculative trading noise from genuine, structural capital inflows. It works by comparing the rate of new Bitcoin production (supply) against the spending behavior of Long-Term Holders (LTHs), tracking the net buying or selling over the last 30 days. When the metric is negative, selling pressure is dominant; when it flips positive, it signals a “demand pivot” where net buying is now absorbing all available supply. The recent flip from a negative net demand of -79.085k BTC to a positive +108.5819k BTC is the most extreme positive shift recorded all year, which confirms that large-scale institutional demand has overwhelmed the market’s selling pressure.

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Parameters

  • Key Metric → Bitcoin Apparent Demand (30-day sum) – Measures net buying demand by comparing new supply to Long-Term Holder spending.
  • Demand Pivot → +108.5819k BTC – The net buying demand value reached on November 8, 2025.
  • Previous Reading → -79.085k BTC – The net demand value recorded just 48 hours earlier on November 6, 2025.
  • Timeframe → 48 Hours – The period over which the dramatic demand pivot occurred.

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Outlook

This structural demand pivot suggests the near-term future is one of market stabilization, with the price floor established by strong institutional hands. The massive demand surge creates a solid base for the next upward move. Readers should watch the Exchange Netflow metric next → a sustained outflow from exchanges would confirm the trend, signaling that these newly bought coins are being moved into secure, long-term storage wallets.

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Verdict

The market bottom is confirmed by the year’s sharpest institutional demand pivot, indicating that the supply shock is beginning to form.

institutional accumulation, whale buying activity, structural demand pivot, on-chain demand, market floor confirmation, large-scale capital, long-term holder behavior, net buying pressure, spot BTC movement, accumulation zone, market stabilization, supply absorption Signal Acquired from → tradingview.com

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