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Briefing

On-chain data reveals a massive structural support zone for Ethereum, suggesting the asset has a powerful and immediate price floor. This concentration of investor cost basis means a large portion of the market is prepared to defend the current price range, confirming strong conviction among recent buyers. The thesis is proven by the fact that 7.2 million ETH were last acquired between the tight range of $3,772 and $4,011.

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Context

The central market question is whether Ethereum’s recent price action is sustainable or if a major drop is imminent due to broader market volatility. Investors are wondering if there is enough real demand to absorb potential selling pressure or if the price can easily fall to lower, less-tested levels.

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Analysis

The key metric is the Investor Cost Basis shown by On-Chain Demand Zones , which measures the price at which every unit of ETH supply last moved on the blockchain. When a large volume of supply is concentrated in a tight price range, it signifies a strong psychological and structural support level. This level acts as a “demand zone” because investors who bought there are likely to buy more or hold their position, preventing the price from falling below their break-even point. The current pattern shows a massive cluster of 7.2 million ETH was purchased just below the current price, indicating a powerful, immediate line of defense against downside moves.

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Parameters

  • Key Metric – Supply Concentration ∞ 7.2 million ETH, which represents the total supply acquired by investors between the $3,772 and $4,011 price levels.
  • Support Price Range ∞ $3,772 to $4,011, the critical price band where a massive amount of investor capital is currently concentrated.

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Outlook

This on-chain insight suggests the near-term future for Ethereum is structurally supported, making a severe price correction unlikely unless a major external catalyst forces a panic sell. The market should watch for a confirming signal ∞ a sustained price consolidation above $4,000, which would signal the demand zone is holding and new capital is building a higher floor. A counter-signal would be a rapid, high-volume break below the $3,772 low end of the demand zone, which would indicate a mass capitulation.

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Verdict

The massive concentration of investor cost basis confirms a powerful, immediate structural price floor for Ethereum.

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