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Briefing

On-chain data confirms that the market’s available cash, or “dry powder,” is at an extreme level relative to Bitcoin’s valuation, suggesting a structural price floor is near. The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) has dropped sharply, pushing its Relative Strength Index (RSI) into a historical “Buy Zone,” indicating that stablecoin reserves hold significant purchasing power ready to be deployed. This metric, which measures the potential demand pressure from sidelined capital, strongly suggests that a major price rebound is imminent, proven by the SSR RSI entering a zone that has historically preceded market bottoms.

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Context

The core question for investors is whether the recent price drop represents a necessary market reset or the beginning of a deeper bear trend. Everyone is wondering if the current selling pressure has exhausted itself and if there is enough sidelined capital to absorb the supply and trigger a rebound. This data provides a direct answer by quantifying the sheer volume of cash waiting to enter the market.

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Analysis

The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) is a simple but powerful indicator that compares Bitcoin’s market capitalization to the total supply of stablecoins. When the SSR is high, it means Bitcoin’s price is high relative to the amount of stablecoin cash available to buy it, suggesting buying power is weak. When the SSR falls sharply, as it has now, it means stablecoin supply is high relative to Bitcoin’s valuation, signaling a surge in buying power. The current drop has pushed the SSR’s momentum indicator (RSI) into a zone that historically marks a major accumulation opportunity, confirming that a massive pool of capital is waiting to enter the market at current prices.

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Parameters

  • Key Metric – SSR RSI ∞ The Stablecoin Supply Ratio’s Relative Strength Index has entered its historical “Buy Zone,” which indicates that stablecoin buying power is at an extreme high relative to Bitcoin’s market cap.
  • Bitcoin Price Level ∞ Bitcoin is trading around $92,500, the price point at which the SSR buy signal was triggered.

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Outlook

This high level of stablecoin buying power suggests the near-term future is primed for a liquidity-driven rally, as the market is structurally de-risked and ready to absorb any further selling. The critical signal to watch for next is a sharp, sustained increase in the SSR value itself, which would confirm that the waiting stablecoin capital is actively moving into Bitcoin, driving the price higher.

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Verdict

The market’s immense sidelined capital confirms that structural buying power is positioned for a significant price rebound.

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