Whale Demand Flips Positive Signaling Market Bottom Is Confirmed ∞ Insights

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Briefing

The Bitcoin Apparent Demand metric recorded its sharpest positive flip all year, immediately following a price correction. This core insight suggests that institutional and large-scale investors aggressively bought the dip, absorbing supply and establishing a robust structural support level. This thesis is proven by the metric’s dramatic 48-hour move, surging from a negative 79,085 BTC to a positive 108,582 BTC net demand.

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Context

After a significant market correction, the central question for most investors is whether the dip is a temporary setback or the start of a deeper bearish trend. Everyone is wondering if big players are selling or if they are using the lower prices to buy more. This data provides a clear answer to the market’s underlying conviction.

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Analysis

The Apparent Demand metric measures the true strength of net buying by comparing Bitcoin production (new supply) with the movement behavior of Long-Term Holders. When the metric is negative, it means selling pressure outweighs new demand; when positive, it means accumulation is dominant. The recent pattern shows a rapid and powerful shift ∞ the indicator had been negative for a month, but within 48 hours, it flipped to a strong positive value. This sudden change is known as a “demand pivot,” which historically signals the entry of large, structural capital (whales and institutions) that sets a strong foundation for a price rebound.

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Parameters

Key Metric – Apparent Demand (30-day sum) ∞ The cumulative net buying demand for Bitcoin over the last 30 days.
Demand Pivot Magnitude ∞ A 187,667 BTC net change in demand over a 48-hour period.
Pre-Pivot Reading ∞ -79,085 BTC net demand on November 6.
Post-Pivot Reading ∞ +108,582 BTC net demand on November 8.

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Outlook

This structural demand pivot suggests the market has established a strong, high-conviction price floor, making a deeper, sustained sell-off unlikely in the near term. The market is likely to enter a period of consolidation before a potential rebound. A confirming signal to watch for is a sustained, positive Coinbase Premium, which would indicate a return of aggressive US institutional buying momentum.

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Verdict

Large-scale investor demand has absorbed the recent selling, confirming a structural market bottom is now in place.

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