Definition ∞ Arithmetic Overvaluation occurs when an asset’s price significantly exceeds its calculated intrinsic value based on quantitative models. This indicates a market price higher than what fundamental analysis suggests is rational. Such a condition can arise from speculative trading, market sentiment, or distorted valuation metrics. It often signals potential market corrections or asset price adjustments.
Context ∞ Discussion surrounding arithmetic overvaluation frequently appears in crypto news when asset prices surge without clear fundamental drivers. Analysts often debate whether certain digital assets exhibit unsustainable price levels due to speculative fervor rather than underlying utility or adoption. A critical future development involves refining valuation models for novel digital assets to better assess their true economic worth, moving beyond purely speculative assessments.