A cycle shift confirmed indicates a definitive transition from one major market phase to another, such as from a bull market to a bear market or vice versa. This confirmation is typically based on the analysis of multiple on-chain and technical indicators, showing sustained changes in market structure and investor behavior. It signifies a fundamental alteration in the prevailing market trend, moving beyond short-term fluctuations. Such a shift often precedes significant price movements in the new direction.
Context
Crypto news often speculates on whether a cycle shift has been confirmed, with analysts debating the reliability of various indicators. The situation involves careful examination of metrics like realized price, market value to realized value (MVRV), and long-term holder behavior to validate such a transition. A critical future development is the ability to predict these shifts with greater accuracy, aiding investors in strategic decision-making.
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